Decision Desk HQ RETRACTS New Jersey Democratic Primary Call as Race Tightens
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Decision Desk HQ RETRACTS New Jersey Democratic Primary Call as Race Tightens
"The New Jersey Democratic primary for the state's 11th Congressional District was plunged into uncertainty on Thursday night after Decision Desk HQ abruptly walked back its earlier projection calling a win for former congressman Tom Malinowski after a late surge by his progressive rival. The election analysis outlet had initially called the contest for Malinowski, only to retract its call hours later as election night data began cutting sharply against its assumptions."
"The organization said it had deleted its original call after late election-day returns in Morris County swung decisively toward Mejia, reversing trends seen in early and absentee voting. As the night progressed, margins in Morris County quickly tilted toward Mejia; Mejia began winning drops by 20%-30%, representing a swing of 65 points compared to the absentee vote, the statement said."
Decision Desk HQ retracted its projection in the New Jersey 11th Congressional District Democratic primary after late election-day returns reversed earlier trends. Late drops from Morris County swung decisively toward progressive Analilia Mejia, with drops winning by 20–30% and representing a 65-point swing versus absentee ballots. With roughly 95% of votes reported, Mejia led with 28.8% to former congressman Tom Malinowski's 28%, a margin of fewer than 500 votes in a 12-candidate field. Decision Desk HQ deleted its original call, apologized for the inaccurate projection, and said the trend reversal prompted re-examination. The primary winner will face Republican Joe Hathaway in an April 16 special election to fill the seat opened by Mikie Sherrill's resignation.
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