"Trump's own Justice Department already investigated the main issue at play in the new indictment, the allegation that Comey authorized a leak to the Wall Street Journal. A 2018 report by the DOJ Inspector General's office investigated and opted not to bring a case against Comey at that time. That has been investigated already the Inspector General of the Department of Justice investigated this issue, Abrams said."
"I think that there's a 95%-plus chance that there won't be a conviction. That it'll either get dismissed by a judge, there'll be a hung jury, there'll being an acquittal. But I'm not certain that that's the end goal here. And that's what makes this so unusual. Because typically, a prosecutor's office will not bring a case unless they think they can win it."
The likelihood of conviction for former FBI Director James Comey on two felony counts is assessed as very low. A 2018 DOJ Inspector General report investigated the alleged authorization of a leak to the Wall Street Journal and opted not to bring charges against Comey. The prior thorough investigation reduces the plausibility of a later successful prosecution on the same issue. Observers assess a high probability that the case will be dismissed, result in a hung jury, or end in acquittal. Some officials pursued the case despite expecting no conviction, suggesting the possibility of objectives beyond securing a guilty verdict.
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