"Using aggregated data from a number of different polls, Enten revealed that the economy traditionally Trump's best issue has plummeted to level matching former President Joe Biden's around the same time during his term. In just a year, Enten noted, Trump's approval rating on the economy swung by a stunning 26 points. Enten continued: You go back to this point [in] the Joe Biden presidency he was 19 points underwater."
"You go into Donald Trump's presidency hey, he started off in the positive territory at plus-6 points, but down he goes! Down the slide into the ocean he goes. Negative-20 points! Donald Trump is actually in slightly worse position right now on the economy than Joe Biden was in his presidency. And of course, Joe Biden, as I said at the top, the economy ate his presidency alive; and right now, it is eating Donald Trump's presidency alive."
Aggregated polling shows Trump's approval on the economy fell 26 points in a year, dropping from about +6 to roughly -20 and matching Joe Biden's level at a similar point. The president's net economic approval has moved from positive to substantially negative, increasing electoral risk for the president's party ahead of the 2026 midterms. Historical averages show a president with positive economic approval loses about nine House seats on average in midterms, while negative economic approval corresponds to an average 28-seat House loss. A negative economic approval for Trump could cost the GOP its House majority and imperil the Senate.
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