"The Brennan Center of Justice, a nonpartisan law and policy institute based at NYU, predicts the state will see its congressional delegation shrink from 52 to 48, in what it describes as a stunning loss of representation. Once a decade, the Constitution requires the reallocation of congressional seats among states based on the results of the latest census, a process called reapportionment."
"California lost 229,077 people to net domestic migration between July 2024 and July 2025. The top states that people moved to from California were Texas, Nevada, Arizona and Washington. Jonathan Cervas, a redistricting expert at Carnegie Mellon University, says that California could lose four congressional seats if the trends hold in 2030. RELATED: California Dreaming: Moving to Texas If those trends hold, Texas and Florida could gain four seats each."
New Census Bureau estimates project shifts in congressional representation after the 2030 Census, with California potentially losing four seats due to slowing population growth. The Brennan Center of Justice predicts California's delegation would shrink from 52 to 48. Reapportionment reallocates House seats among states once a decade based on the latest census. California experienced a net domestic migration loss of 229,077 people between July 2024 and July 2025, with top destinations including Texas, Nevada, Arizona and Washington. If current trends persist, Texas and Florida could each gain four seats. National population growth slowed to 0.5% in 2025 as immigration declined.
Read at ABC7 San Francisco
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