Retail Traders Turn Bearish on SPY Amid $25.8 Trillion Debt Refinancing Concerns
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Retail Traders Turn Bearish on SPY Amid $25.8 Trillion Debt Refinancing Concerns
"Shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ( NYSE: SPY) fell 0.8% on Monday, coinciding with a sharp deterioration in retail investor sentiment. SPY's social sentiment score dropped to 35 out of 100 earlier today, down from a neutral 57.3 just last week. That's a 39% collapse in sentiment in under seven days. Discussions on Reddit show growing pessimism about equity valuations, debt concerns, and a rotation into defensive assets like gold. Meanwhile, speculative options activity remains elevated, a classic warning sign before corrections."
"A detailed post on r/stocks arguing gold has "the strongest bull case in modern history" gained 691 upvotes and sparked 280 comments. The author laid out a comprehensive bear case centered on the 2026-2028 debt refinancing crisis, noting that $25.8 trillion in U.S. debt matures over those three years. The post warned: "We're not in an AI bubble, we're in an everything bubble. It is not normal for gold, bitcoin, and the S&P to all be at ATH.""
SPY shares fell 0.8% as retail investor sentiment deteriorated sharply, with the social sentiment score dropping to 35 from 57.3 last week, a 39% collapse in under seven days. Reddit discussions show growing pessimism about equity valuations, concerns over massive U.S. debt maturities in 2026–2028, and a rotation into defensive assets like gold. A viral r/stocks post argued gold has "the strongest bull case in modern history" and warned of an "everything bubble" while noting $25.8 trillion in U.S. debt maturing over three years. Central banks are buying gold at rates not seen in decades. SPY's 14-day RSI recovered to 59.1 but failed to regain clear bullish momentum, and speculative options activity remains elevated.
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