"New England Patriots The Patriots control their own destiny in the AFC East race, but they might need some help to get the AFC's No. 1 seed. The Patriots might be off this weekend, but what happens during their bye week could play a role in determining their playoff path. At 11-2, New England sits in pole position for the AFC East title and the No. 1 seed in the AFC."
"The Patriots already sit in a good spot to win the AFC East entering Sunday's slate. No matter what happens in the Bills' matchup against the Bengals on Sunday, the Patriots will clinch the AFC East for the first time in six years if they beat the Bills in Week 15. But a Bills loss to the Bengals would essentially give Buffalo zero margin for error to steal the division."
"The Colts' sudden two-game losing streak has essentially turned the battle for home-field advantage in the AFC into a two-team race between the Patriots and Broncos. The simplest way for the Patriots' odds to get the top seed in Week 14 would be for the Broncos to lose. However, the Broncos are 7.5-point favorites against the Raiders this weekend in Las Vegas."
New England sits 11-2 and holds the AFC East lead and the AFC's No. 1 seed. The Patriots face an 8-4 Buffalo team in the division race and a 10-2 Denver team for conference top seed. A Bills loss in Week 14 would raise New England's division-clinching probability to 96 percent per The Athletic's Playoff Simulator; the simulator currently gives a 92 percent chance, dropping to 88 percent if Buffalo wins. A Colts two-game losing streak has narrowed home-field advantage to a two-team contest between New England and Denver. A Broncos loss or Raiders upset would significantly boost Patriots' top-seed odds.
Read at Boston.com
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