"If Alcaraz wins today, he'll be one win against Musetti away from ending the year as world no 1. If he loses, a win in his final match will leave Sinner needing him to lose the semi, while winning the title as an undefeated champion; if loses both matches, Sinner will merely need to lift the trophy. Which would be pretty likely, given every tournament both have entered this season, one has won. Share"
"The problem Fritz has is he too has weaknesses. I'd expect Alcaraz to target his backhand while putting him on the bike, moving him side to side and into the net so he can't plant feet and thwack. Share So how does Fritz win today? Well, patience is important: Alcaraz isn't metronomic like Sinner, and loses his serve more often; Fritz needn't force things, but when the opportunities arise, he has to be ready."
"Alcaraz leads Fritz 4-1 in the head-to-head but Fritz's one win came not that long ago, in September, and it was also on an indoor hard court. I guess we might say it came two weeks after the US Open final, so chances are, its champion has been more focused, but if helps convince Fritz he can win this afternoon, it doesn't matter. Share"
Carlos Alcaraz can clinch the year-end world No.1 ranking with a win today; a loss creates permutations involving Jannik Sinner and final-round results. A win in Alcaraz's final match after a loss would leave Sinner needing Alcaraz to lose the semi while Sinner wins the title undefeated; other combinations follow if Alcaraz loses both matches. Taylor Fritz possesses notable weaknesses, especially on the backhand and under movement pressure. Alcaraz is likely to target those areas, moving Fritz side to side and into the net. Fritz's best path is patient, timely aggression: attack first and second serves, prioritize the backhand, lengthen rallies when advantageous, and seize opportunities to shorten points when they arrive. Head-to-head favors Alcaraz 4-1, though Fritz has achieved a recent indoor hard-court victory.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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