""The US government spends $7 trillion. It takes in about $5 trillion. So it has, it's 40% overspending. That gap has to be financed in the bond market, and the bond market has a tone problem.""
""Chinese accumulation of dollars through trade surpluses, combined with fears of potential sanctions, contributing to falling demand for US debt. The trade balance shows a February 2026 deficit of -$57.3 billion.""
""Dalio predicted Republicans likely lose the House in 2026, leading to great conflicts, including...""
Ray Dalio identifies a critical window for the U.S. from the 2026 midterms to the 2028 presidential election, driven by three main threats: significant overspending by the government, reduced foreign demand for U.S. debt, and potential political conflicts. The U.S. government overspends by 40%, relying heavily on the bond market. Additionally, foreign buyers, particularly from China, are stepping back from U.S. debt, exacerbating the situation. Political shifts may lead to governance challenges, further complicating the economic landscape during this period.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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