History Suggests Expecting the Unexpected From the Papal Conclave
Briefly

The death of Pope Francis has sparked speculation about his successor, but due to the secretive nature of the papal conclave, any predictions remain mere guesses. For over 750 years, the College of Cardinals has chosen new popes in closed, locked conclaves, ensuring complete isolation and adherence to confidentiality. Violating this secrecy can result in excommunication. The conclave process, established in the 13th century to expedite papal elections after lengthy delays, has occurred only 16 times since 1788, leading to a conclusion that the outcome is often unpredictable.
The selection of a new pope remains a tightly-guarded process where secrecy is paramount, making any predictions regarding the next pope merely speculative.
For roughly 750 years, the College of Cardinals has selected popes in locked conclaves, allowing no outside influence during the decision-making process.
Read at time.com
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