Pew Research's analysis of the 2024 presidential election highlights crucial changes in voter demographics, particularly regarding Donald Trump's increasing support among Latino voters. Trump lost to Kamala Harris by a narrow margin among Hispanics, a stark contrast to his previous losses. Meanwhile, Harris struggled with key groups, including Black and Asian voters, despite making gains among White women. Additionally, the analysis suggests that higher turnout levels could have further benefited Trump, challenging longstanding assumptions about voter turnout. These insights are vital for political strategists as they prepare for future election cycles.
According to Pew, Trump lost Hispanics to Harris by just 3 points, a significant improvement compared to past elections where he lost by 25 and 38 points.
Harris did make modest improvements among White women in 2024, but overall, she lost ground with key demographics compared to Biden's performance.
Democrats traditionally believe that high-turnout elections favor them, but the 2024 election's turnout dynamics suggest that higher turnout could have further benefited Trump.
The results reveal a clear shift in Latino support towards Trump and indicate potential challenges for Democrats in upcoming elections.
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