Campaign Staffers Trade Internal Polls on Polymarket in Third Insider Pattern
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Campaign Staffers Trade Internal Polls on Polymarket in Third Insider Pattern
"An anonymous campaign staffer told NPR earlier this month that they and colleagues routinely placed Polymarket bets on internal polling data before public release, generating thousands of dollars per cycle. The admission marks the third Polymarket-specific insider trading pattern documented by NPR in three months and exposes a regulatory gap that federal legislation has so far not closed at the campaign-staff layer."
"Seven House Democrats led by Rep. Chris Pappas sent a letter to the House Oversight Committee on Monday requesting subpoenas and an investigation into the broader insider trading pattern. This is the third Polymarket-specific instance that NPR has surfaced in three months. In March, the media organization reported on a $553,000 Polymarket bet placed on Iran and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei shortly before the Israeli strike that killed him."
"In April, NPR analyzed data showing a Polymarket trader had profited approximately $300,000 on bets tied to President Biden's last-minute pardons. The May campaign-staffer story is the first to surface a self-described participant rather than an unidentified large- stake trader. The CFTC filed its first event-contract insider trading complaint on April 23, 2026, charging Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke of the US Army Special Forces with using classified information abo"
An anonymous campaign staffer reported that they and colleagues routinely placed Polymarket bets based on internal polling data before that information was released publicly. The conduct generated thousands of dollars per betting cycle. The admission represents a third Polymarket-specific insider trading pattern documented within three months. Earlier reports included a $553,000 bet tied to Iran and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei shortly before an Israeli strike and a separate analysis showing profits of about $300,000 from bets connected to President Biden’s last-minute pardons. House Democrats requested subpoenas and an investigation into a broader insider trading pattern. Senate Resolution 708 banned member and staff prediction-market trading, and the CFTC filed an insider trading complaint involving event-contract trading.
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