'17-Point Net Shift': Kornacki on Why Race to Replace MTG in Congress Is Another Bad Sign for the GOP
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'17-Point Net Shift': Kornacki on Why Race to Replace MTG in Congress Is Another Bad Sign for the GOP
"With just about all votes counted, the cumulative results for GA-14 are: Republican candidates: 59.7% Democratic candidates: 39.7% Other candidates: 0.6% The GOP +20 margin represents a 17-point net shift toward the Dems relative to 2024 in line with the 13 to 22-point net shifts seen in previous House specials."
"The most Hispanic precincts and how they voted in 2024 vs tonight: 5A (64% Hispanic CVAP): Kamala +21, Dems +74 6A (69%): Kamala +23, Dems +64 AN (48%): Trump showed massive swings of over 40 points in multiple precincts in favor of Democrats, indicating significant demographic shifts away from Republican support."
In Georgia's 14th Congressional District special election to replace retired Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, Democrat Shawn Harris finished first with Republican Clay Fuller in second place, advancing to a runoff where Fuller is favored. Despite the GOP fielding 12 candidates in a district Trump won by 37 points in 2024, cumulative Republican votes totaled 59.7% compared to 39.7% for Democrats. The GOP's +20 margin represents a 17-point net shift toward Democrats relative to 2024, consistent with 13 to 22-point shifts observed in previous House special elections. Hispanic precincts showed particularly dramatic swings, with Democrats gaining over 40 points in multiple precincts compared to 2024 performance.
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