"Next year will be pivotal in British politics, and 7 May will be the point around which things pivot. Elections to local councils, the Scottish parliament and the Welsh Senedd will give millions of voters across the UK a chance to express party preferences. Their verdicts could imperil Labour and Conservative leaders. In Wales, Labour might be sent into opposition for the first time since devolution. Plaid Cymru and Reform UK are set to make substantial gains."
"At Holyrood, the Scottish National party (SNP) is on course for a majority. That would be an extraordinary defiance of political gravity for a party weighed down by nearly two decades of incumbency. In England, both Labour and the Tories risk losing scores of councillors as their vote shares are gobbled up by the Liberal Democrats, Reform UK and the Greens. Those results will be taken as evidence that Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch are failing as leaders."
The 7 May local and devolved elections will allow millions of UK voters to express party preferences and could imperil Labour and Conservative leaders. Welsh Labour faces the prospect of opposition for the first time since devolution, with Plaid Cymru and Reform UK poised for gains. The SNP appears on course for a Holyrood majority despite long incumbency, reflecting a shift in regional dynamics. National allegiances have fragmented over time, and devolution has altered accountability, enabling regional parties to frame themselves as resistance to distant Westminster authority.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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