"Keir Starmer is the new John Major. True, there has been nothing as totemic as Black Wednesday in the past 18 months, merely a drip feed of bad news. Voters who expected Starmer to be a fresh start after 14 years of Conservative incompetence and sleaze have suffered from a bad dose of buyer's remorse, with the Green party and Reform UK the beneficiaries of rapid public disillusionment."
"Once a prime minister has a reputation for being hapless, the impression is hard to shift. Major lost the 1997 election by a landslide even though the economy had performed strongly in the five years after Black Wednesday. Starmer doesn't even have that going for him. Growth is weak and this week there was news that unemployment has risen to its highest in almost five years."
Keir Starmer's premiership faces mounting public disillusionment comparable to John Major's post-Black Wednesday decline. Initial optimism has faded amid a steady stream of bad news, rising unemployment, weak growth, and perceptions of haplessness. Political fragmentation has allowed smaller parties like the Greens and Reform UK to gain support. Labour's unforced errors, policy U-turns, and budget uncertainty have discouraged business investment. To retain a path to power, four conditions must be met: Starmer must be replaced; the government must stop self-inflicted errors; fiscal credibility and clear policy must be restored; and a successor must convince voters of competence and economic stewardship.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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