"Every barb Labour has directed at the Greens can now be returned with interest. It's a wasted vote. Do you want to see Reform in power? New polling ahead of the crucial Gorton and Denton byelection this week, while by no means decisive, puts the Greens first on 22%, followed by Reform UK (20%), then Labour (18%), with 31% undecided."
"YouGov's voting intention polls show that since January 2025, Labour's national share has declined from 26% to 18%, on a steady downward cruise that no rhetoric, U-turn or reboot has been able to jolt. The Greens, in contrast, on an equally steady trajectory, have risen in the same period from 8% to 17%."
"I see the Greens stepping into the howling void Labour has vacated and becoming everything you might have wanted Labour to be. In their byelection contender, Hannah Spencer, they have a brilliant candidate: a working plumber and plasterer with first-hand experience of the cracks and leaks in our social fabric and bright ideas for fixing them."
Labour has criticized voting for the Greens as wasted, yet polling for the Gorton and Denton byelection shows Greens at 22%, Reform at 20%, and Labour at 18%. Labour leader Keir Starmer claims only Labour can defeat Reform, but this argument weakens as Labour's national support declines from 26% to 18% since January 2025, while the Greens rise from 8% to 17%. The Greens' candidate Hannah Spencer, a working plumber with practical experience, represents the opposition Labour once embodied. Betting markets favor the Greens in this contest. Labour's rhetoric about stopping Reform appears hollow when it falls behind other contenders, suggesting the party's fear-based messaging backfires when better alternatives emerge.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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