"In what traditionally has been a safe Labour seat, there are two insurgent, challenger parties that are competitive. We are used to byelections where one outsider party is doing well, but here Reform UK and the Greens are both potential winners. This is further confirmation that the two-party system has completely broken down, and we are now in an era of multi-party politics."
"The poll suggests that tactical voting could easily swing the contest, with anti-Reform voters significantly more likely to switch to the Greens than to Labour. Around two thirds (66%) of those Labour and Liberal Democrat voters surveyed said they would be prepared to switch to the Greens if they were the party most likely to beat Reform, compared to just 41% of Green and Lib Dem voters who said they would switch to Labour to defeat Farage's party."
An Opinium poll shows the Gorton and Denton byelection remains highly competitive among all three major contenders. Among all voters, Greens and Labour tie at 28% with Reform UK at 27%, while likely voters show Greens at 30% marginally ahead of Labour and Reform UK at 28% each. A second recent poll similarly indicated Greens leading. Most leads fall within the margin of error, making the result genuinely unpredictable. Notably, this represents a significant shift in British politics: two insurgent challenger parties compete in a traditionally safe Labour seat, confirming the collapse of the traditional two-party system and emergence of multi-party politics. Tactical voting patterns show anti-Reform voters more willing to switch to Greens than Labour.
#gorton-and-denton-byelection #multi-party-politics #tactical-voting #electoral-polling #british-politics
Read at www.theguardian.com
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