Portugal is approaching its third snap election in three years, with the centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD) likely to win but remain without a majority. Polls indicate AD could receive between 29% and 35.1% of the vote, while the Socialist Party and far-right Chega may vie for the second place with nearly equal percentages. The opportunity for a resurgent Chega reflects a notable increase in its constituency since the last elections. The election comes amid controversies surrounding Prime Minister Montenegro's minority government's trustworthiness, and critical campaign issues include housing, safety, and immigration.
If accurate, the polls point to a similar AD showing to the previous general election in March 2024, when the alliance won 28.8% of the vote.
The electoral campaign has focused on issues such as housing, public services and safety. Immigrationâone of Chega's prioritiesâhas also risen up the agenda.
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