The UK government attributes rising Channel migrant crossings to an increase in favorable weather conditions and overcrowding in boats. The Home Office reported an 80% increase in "red days"—days likely to see crossings—reaching 190 in the past year. Despite government claims, opposition parties criticize this as an excuse. Experts suggest factors like smuggling gang effectiveness and desire to immigrate weigh more than weather conditions. In 2023, over 14,800 crossed by boat, a 40% increase from 2022.
"The Conservatives and Reform have accused the government of 'blaming the weather' for the record crossings so far this year."
"By publishing the red day figures, the first official release of this kind, the government is suggesting a link between good weather conditions and the level of migrant crossings."
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