The Toronto Maple Leafs are rumored to pursue Erik Karlsson ahead of the 2025-26 NHL season. Karlsson, a former Norris Trophy winner, has impressive offensive stats, but concerns arise with his age and recent performance. At 35, Karlsson's production has declined, especially after peaking in the 2022-23 season. His overall points per game have dropped significantly since turning 30. Advanced stats also show a decrease in his expected goals rate, raising doubts about his ability to enhance the Maple Leafs' roster effectively.
Karlsson has registered 10 seasons of 10 or more goals and another 12 seasons of 40 or more points, making him an elite offensive defenseman.
At 35 years old, Karlsson's production could fall significantly, as he has only posted a career-high 101 points in the 2022-23 season.
Karlsson has seen a decline in his overall production in four of the past five seasons, dropping from a 0.9 points per game player to 0.6.
His expected goals rate fell below 50% for the first time in three years last season, indicating declining performance in key areas.
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