"What is interesting is how the sausage was made. The Maple Leafs have had a 103.8 PDO over that stretch. There has been strong goaltending over that time but most notably it's the 12.5% shooting percentage has made them particularly lucky. What is interesting is that the Leafs have the fourth-lowest Corsi for percentage (CF%), 7th lowest shots-for percentage, 10th lowest expected goals for percentage (xG%),"
"The Maple Leafs have a 31.2 power play conversion rate over those ten games, good enough for 4th best in the league over that time, and a 91.7% kill rate when shorthanded, which has been the best in the league since December 23rd. The penalty kill has climbed to being the third best in the league this season and after having a powerplay that was dead last in the NHL, the Leafs are now 24th in the league."
An 8-0-2 stretch pushed Toronto into a playoff position by January 14th. The run produced a 103.8 PDO with a 12.5% shooting rate and strong goaltending. At 5-on-5 the team posted very poor possession and shot metrics: fourth-lowest CF%, seventh-lowest shots-for percentage, tenth-lowest xG%, and sixth-lowest high-danger Corsi. Those underlying numbers mirror the first half of the season and usually indicate a team unlikely to sustain playoff form without continued luck. Special teams diverged significantly with a 31.2% power-play rate and a 91.7% penalty kill over the ten games, improving season rankings.
Read at TheLeafsNation
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