
The bullpen has a mid-pack ERA of 4.06 but ranks eighth in FIP at 3.62. Expected metrics are even stronger, with a best-in-baseball xFIP of 3.35 and a fifth-best xERA of 3.57. Early-season strikeout and walk rates are top-tier, with a 25.3% strikeout rate tied for third and an 8.9% walk rate tied for fifth, though the bullpen has allowed 22 home runs, ranking 10th. Louis Varland has a 0.36 ERA over 24.2 innings, with a 1.37 FIP, 35.7% strikeout rate, and 9.2% walk rate, and has become the team’s closer. Tyler Rogers has a 1.69 ERA and 2.79 FIP over 21.1 innings, with a 69.7% ground-ball rate.
"While the bullpen's ERA of 4.06 ranks in the middle of the pack, their 3.62 FIP ranks as the eighth-best in the big leagues. The expected numbers paint the relief core in an even better light, as their 3.35 xFIP is the best in baseball, and their 3.57 xERA is fifth."
"About two months into the season, the Blue Jays' strikeout rate of 25.3% ranks tied for third and their 8.9 BB% ranks tied for fifth-best, but they've surrendered 22 home runs, 10th-most in the big leagues."
"In his 23 outings this season, Varland has surrendered just one earned run over 24.2 innings pitched, giving him a 0.36 ERA. At this point, a scoreless inning drops his ERA by two hundredths, that's how dominant he's been. In terms of FIP, he's issued just nine walks, hasn't given up a home run, and struck out 35 batters, which translates to a 1.37 FIP."
"Appearing in 22 games for the Blue Jays this season, the submarine pitcher has a 1.69 ERA and 2.79 FIP in 21.1 innings pitched, with a 15.9 K% and 8 BB%. While he doesn't strike out many batters, no reliever in baseball with more than 20 innings pitched has a better ground ball percentage than Rogers' 69.7%."
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