"The Blue Jays' average fastball velocity in Spring Training is 92.7, which is 0.4 mph slower than the next slowest team, the Atlanta Braves (93.1) and 2.2 mph slower than the league-leading Miami Marlins (94.9). The Blue Jays average velocity is also down from the 2025 regular season, when the team averaged 93.6 mph."
"While this stat may seem concerning heading into the regular season, there are many caveats to keep in mind. Firstly, it's Spring Training. It's normal for teams' average velocity to fluctuate before the start of the regular season. In 2025, the San Francisco Giants and the Colorado Rockies had the highest average fastball velocity in Spring Training at 94.7 mph."
"It's also important to remember that many Blue Jays pitchers have had an irregular spring. Trey Yesavage is on a slower ramp-up, as the Blue Jays try not to overload him in his first full season in the majors. Bieber has been MIA while recovering from forearm issues."
The Toronto Blue Jays invested heavily in pitching during the offseason, acquiring Dylan Cease, Cody Ponce, Tyler Rogers, Shane Bieber, and Max Scherzer. However, their Spring Training average fastball velocity ranks 30th at 92.7 mph, trailing the Atlanta Braves (93.1) and significantly behind the Miami Marlins (94.9). This marks a decline from their 2025 regular season average of 93.6 mph. Despite these concerns, historical precedent suggests Spring Training velocity rankings don't reliably predict regular season performance. Several contextual factors explain the low velocity, including irregular spring schedules for key pitchers like Trey Yesavage and Shane Bieber's recovery from injury.
#blue-jays-pitching #spring-training-velocity #fastball-metrics #offseason-acquisitions #regular-season-outlook
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