"Indeed, Wednesday's meeting at the Santiago Bernabeu on matchday six of the Champions League will be the 15th time they have faced off in the competition. Since their first encounter, a 3-2 Madrid victory all the way back in September 2012, this is the most-played fixture in the Champions League. And there is plenty at stake, too. While Xabi Alonso's hosts have 12 points from five games in Europe's premier club competition, City are two points back after a surprise home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen last time out. So neither team can think of themselves as assured of a top-eight finish and automatic qualification for the last 16."
"What's expected? The Opta supercomputer has run 10,000 data-led simulations of this game, and Madrid were the victors in 38.2% of them. But it is expected to be a close affair. City claimed the three points in 37.7% of the sims, with 24.1% finishing level. In the predictive model's season projections, City are assigned a 10% chance of winning the Champions League for a second time."
"Los Blancos, of course, ended City's European dreams last season, eliminating them from the play-off round with a 6-3 aggregate success (3-2 win away, 3-1 win at home). Those two defeats are as many as City had experienced in their previous 11 games against the Spanish side combined (W4 D5 L2). Former Barcelona boss Guardiola, meanwhile, has faced Madrid on 27 previous occasions."
Real Madrid and Manchester City meet for their 15th Champions League encounter, with Madrid holding 12 points from five games and City two points behind after a surprise home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Opta ran 10,000 simulations, giving Madrid a 38.2% chance of victory, City 37.7%, and 24.1% draws, while season projections assign City a 10% chance to win the competition and Madrid 5%. Real Madrid eliminated Manchester City last season with a 6-3 aggregate. Guardiola has faced Madrid 27 times and is winless in his last four meetings (D2 L2).
Read at Soccer News
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