"Two-time European champions Chelsea are back at the top table after a two-year absence. Chelsea will feature in the Champions League for the first time since the 2022-23 campaign, and their first match back is against heavyweights Bayern Munich. A trip to Munich - the scene of one of their most famous nights - welcomes them back into the Champions League fold, and the Blues are going up against a team bang in form."
"What's expected? Bayern have won three of their last four games against Chelsea in the Champions League (D1, lost on penalties in the final in 2012), including winning both legs against them in the 2019-20 last 16, in their most recent meetings (3-0 away and 4-1 at home). Chelsea have lost 60% of their games against Bayern in the European Cup/Champions League (W1 D1 L3)."
"The Opta supercomputer has run 10,000 data-led simulations, and Bayern came out victorious in 54.9% of them. Chelsea are handed just a 23% win probability, while the likelihood of a draw is 22.1%. When it comes to the overall tournament predictions, the model actually gives Chelsea a higher probability of becoming European champions than Bayern, with the Blues' chances ranked at 7% and Bayern's at 5%."
Chelsea return to the Champions League after a two-year absence and begin their campaign away at Bayern Munich. Vincent Kompany's Bayern were runaway Bundesliga champions last season and have scored 14 goals in their three league matches this term, taking maximum points and routing Hamburger SV. Chelsea were pegged back to a 2-2 draw by Brentford. Bayern have won three of their last four Champions League meetings with Chelsea and Chelsea have lost 60% of their European Cup/Champions League games against Bayern. Opta simulations give Bayern a 54.9% match win probability, Chelsea 23% and a draw 22.1%, while tournament odds show Chelsea 7% and Bayern 5%.
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