"According to Opta, Spurs are fourth for goals scored but fourth from bottom in expected goals. They have scored 20 times from an xG of 11.2, meaning they have scored about nine more than the average team would have, from the shots they have taken this season. Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea have also over-performed their xG, but to a far lesser degree."
"When comparing the number of goals scored above their xG, Arsenal are at 2.7, City 2.0 and Chelsea 0.5. This suggests the number of goals they are scoring is more sustainable over the course of a season than Tottenham's. Spurs have the league's best shot conversion rate, but can they continue to be this clinical? It is important to analyse their performances to understand if the data around their goalscoring form holds up."
Tottenham sit ninth in the Premier League and have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most in the league, despite a low expected goals (xG) total of 11.2. The team has over-performed its xG by roughly nine goals, producing the league's best shot conversion rate. This over-performance contrasts with Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea, whose xG over-performance is far smaller and therefore more sustainable. Thomas Frank's attacking approach emphasizes crosses into the box, using right- and left-footed players like Pedro Porro and Mohammed Kudus on the same flank to deliver inswinging and outswinging balls. Concerns remain about sustainability given just one home win and heavy defeats such as 4-1 at Arsenal.
Read at www.bbc.com
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