"Friday's slate of matches could not have gone better for Germany. Germany scored early and often to overwhelm Luxembourg in a 4-0 win. Northern Ireland gutted out a 2-0 win over Slovakia. Germany will head into the second half of World Cup qualifying in a three-way tie for first place in Group A. As it currently stands, Germany would hold the tiebreaker thanks to a plus-four goal differential advantage."
"Historically, Germany holds a significant advantage (14W-4D-2L) over Northern Ireland, including last month's 3-1 win in World Cup qualifying. Dating back to 1996, Northern Ireland has failed to beat Germany in the last 10 matchups. Northern Ireland's World Cup qualifying campaign has gone incredibly well, earning wins over Slovakia and Luxembourg. Northern Ireland will be counting on the home crowd to give them the necessary push to take a point or three from the German visitors."
Germany defeated Luxembourg 4-0 while Northern Ireland beat Slovakia 2-0, producing a three-way tie for first place in Group A with Germany holding the tiebreaker on goal differential. Germany holds a dominant historical record over Northern Ireland (14W-4D-2L) and Northern Ireland has not beaten Germany in the last 10 meetings since 1996. Northern Ireland has begun qualifying strongly and will rely on the Windsor Park home crowd in Belfast for advantage. Odds list Germany at -300, draw +400, Northern Ireland +850. The projected result is a 2-1 Germany win with late goals; kickoff Oct 13, 2025, 7:45pm local, Fox Sports coverage and an accompanying podcast and Patreon support are available.
Read at Bavarian Football Works
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