"According to statistics, Bayer n should have won this game, given rounding, 5-1. And they created the chances to drive that score even higher. Harry Kane had a true off day, taking eight shots and scoring just the late penalty. Serge Gnabry had seven shots. They both had around three expected goal combined. On one hand, one has to wonder how Bayern did not score half a dozen goals."
"For the next 15 minutes, Bayern peppered the goal with multiple high quality opportunities, with Karl getting the opening goal. Then from minute 35 to 45, there was again little. Ditto for minutes 45-60 before Bayern started to come to life again. That is around 45 minutes in which Bayern were truly stifled by the opposition and could barely threaten their goal."
Mainz earned a 2-2 draw at the Allianz Arena by holding firm and taking chances while Bayern dominated expected goals but failed to convert. The final xG was 4.72 to 1.07 in Bayern's favor, with Kane and Gnabry combining for roughly three expected goals yet producing only a late penalty. Bayern produced extended high-quality spells but also suffered long periods—about 45 minutes—of limited threat. Inconsistent pressure and inefficient finishing cost Bayern. Urs Fischer's return to Bundesliga is noted for defensive organization that punished Bayern's lapses and helped Mainz frustrate the Bavarians.
Read at Bavarian Football Works
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