"Large historical datasets from bookmaker feeds and exchange markets show that these errors appear more often in specific sports, leagues, and market structures. Platforms such as 1xbetcambodia.com provide datasets that include opening odds, price updates, and historical records across large event samples, which supports long-term market observation. Odds behaviour follows statistical patterns. These patterns are measurable. They repeat across seasons. They do not rely on opinion. They appear inside datasets that track opening price, closing price, liquidity depth, and margin size."
"Market efficiency differs sharply between sports Efficiency measures how fast odds move toward true probability. High-efficiency markets correct fast. Low-efficiency markets remain distorted longer. Exchange datasets covering over 2.1 million events show that elite football leagues correct 70-85% of early mispricing before kickoff. Non-elite football corrects only 48-62%. Tennis main-tour events correct about 75-82%. Challenger-level tennis corrects only 52-60%. Liquidity explains much of this. Elite football matches often exceed €5-20 million in combined market volume. Lower-tier football rarely exceeds €300,000. Smaller markets absorb information slower."
Value betting exists only where pricing errors persist. Large historical datasets from bookmaker feeds and exchanges include opening and closing odds, price updates, and liquidity depth. Odds behavior follows measurable statistical patterns across seasons. Market efficiency varies sharply: exchange data from over 2.1 million events shows elite football corrects 70–85% of early mispricing, non-elite football 48–62%, main-tour tennis 75–82%, and challenger tennis 52–60%. Liquidity explains much of the variance—elite matches often exceed €5–20 million in volume while lower-tier football rarely exceeds €300,000. Historical samples show 23.4% of 42,000 lower-tier matches had opening odds deviating over 7% from closing consensus versus 9.8% in elite competitions.
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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