"The first round is more about rain, sleet, freezing rain, and a hard refreeze than powder at the southern and lower-elevation hills, while the Friday-to-Saturday wave looks like the better window for softer turns. After that, guidance still favors a cooler, unsettled Northeast pattern next week, but the details loosen up quickly after Saturday night."
"Snow levels during the steadiest precipitation generally sit around 2,000 to 5,000 feet at the southern hills and lower farther north, so most resorts only squeeze out around 1 or 2 inches of dense snow from the backside. SLRs mostly run 5-10, and Thursday also brings a fast firm-up with west gusts commonly near 30 to 40 mph and higher on exposed ridges."
"Confidence is strongest from Wednesday afternoon through Saturday night because the guidance agrees on the warm start, the Thursday cooldown, and a colder snow window from Friday afternoon into late Saturday. The Friday-to-Saturday wave is not a lock on exact placement, but the models are better aligned on timing, intensity, and snow levels than they are with the later Sunday-Monday system."
Spring warmth dominates through much of Wednesday before a sharp weather transition Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. The first precipitation round brings rain, sleet, and freezing rain to southern and lower-elevation areas, with northern Vermont and the White Mountains experiencing better sleet or freezing rain conditions. Snow levels range from 2,000 to 5,000 feet at southern hills, producing only 1-2 inches of dense snow with snow-to-liquid ratios of 5-10. Thursday brings rapid firm-up with west winds gusting 30-40 mph. The Friday-Saturday system offers cleaner, all-snow conditions with better powder potential. Guidance shows strong agreement through Saturday night, though confidence decreases for the Sunday-Monday system.
#northeast-skiing #winter-weather-forecast #precipitation-patterns #snow-conditions #weather-transition
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