Europe Snow Forecast 10-15 cm Early Week for the EU Alps, Bigger Late-Week Signal

"Friday night through Sunday looks mostly quiet, with the models converging on limited precipitation and only spotty snow above roughly 2,300-2,700 meters. The more reliable wave arrives Sunday night and peaks Monday into Tuesday. Confidence is strongest from Sunday night, May 10, through Wednesday afternoon, May 13, when the models agree on timing but diverge on intensity, with the lightest solutions much less productive than the middle and wetter camps."

"Snow levels should trend down from about 2,400-2,600 meters toward 1,600-2,100 meters by Tuesday, and SLRs near 3-9 early should improve toward 8-13 as colder air deepens. Wind guidance is generally manageable, though one stronger signal supports exposed gusts near 40-70 km/h around Monday night and Tuesday."

"From Thursday into Monday, the pattern looks colder and more active, but the details are much less settled. The models remain aligned on renewed alpine snowfall, yet they diverge sharply on intensity and placement: ECMWF and GDPS are substantially wetter, while GFS is a lower-snow outlier for many areas. A conservative read favors roughly 15-40 cm on favored upper slopes, with locally more possible if the wetter solutions verify."

"Snow levels are also spread out, ranging from near 1,000-1,600 meters in the colder runs to above 2,000 meters in warmer periods, so snow quality could swing from dense to fair, with lighter snow only where the colder setup wins. Wind is not a dominant regional sign."

Friday night through Sunday brings mostly quiet conditions with limited precipitation and only spotty snow above about 2,300–2,700 meters. The more reliable snowfall wave arrives Sunday night, peaks Monday into Tuesday, and shows strongest confidence from Sunday night through Wednesday afternoon. Snow levels fall from roughly 2,400–2,600 meters toward 1,600–2,100 meters by Tuesday, while SLRs improve from about 3–9 early to around 8–13 as colder air deepens. Wind impacts are generally manageable, with a stronger signal supporting exposed gusts near 40–70 km/h around Monday night and Tuesday. From Thursday into Monday, renewed snowfall is likely but intensity and placement vary widely, with totals beyond Wednesday remaining uncertain.

Read at SnowBrains