"While scientists have gotten much better at predicting where hurricanes will go, there's still a lot of confusion about what forecast maps can actually tell us. That cone of uncertainty, for instance? It probably doesn't mean what you think it means. Here to break down how to read these crucial forecastsand to explain why you should keep checking them even after you think you know what a storm will dois Andrea Thompson, senior news editor for sustainability at Scientific American."
"So hurricane season, the actual dates are sort of artificially imposed. They run from June 1 to November 30 for the Atlantic Ocean, and that's just because those dates encapsulate, you know, the vast majority of hurricane formation. We do sometimes see hurricanes form before June 1 or after November 30, but they're rarer. And we do associate hurricane season with the summer, but the peak of the season is actually at the very end of that:"
Scientists have improved hurricane track predictions, but many people misunderstand forecast maps and symbols. The cone of uncertainty indicates a probable range for the storm center's path rather than exact impacts at specific locations. Atlantic hurricane season officially runs June 1 to November 30, encompassing most cyclone formation, though occasional storms form outside those dates. The seasonal peak occurs from mid‑August through October, with September as the prime month. People should remain prepared for alerts during the peak and continue checking updates because forecasts and storm behavior can change over time.
Read at www.scientificamerican.com
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