Republicans are eyeing the California governorship with two candidates now in the race, signaling a moment of opportunity. However, they face challenges like poor registration numbers and an uncertain economy. While some strategists suggest they might have a 35-40% chance of winning in 2026, public concerns about homelessness, safety, and the cost of living may energize Republican support. Additionally, influence from national fundraising could play a role, especially if prominent Democrats enter the race.
"It's homelessness, public safety, affordability, taxes, gas prices, and energy policy. These are just bread-and-butter issues that are buoying Republican prospects."
"To elect a governor in 2026, the party would need a lot of breaks. The odds are no better than 35% to 40%, but that's higher than in years."
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