As Ukraine approaches potential peace with Russia, it must evaluate what kind of peace would truly be beneficial. The 1995 Dayton Agreement offers both potential lessons and warnings. While it stopped the Bosnian War, it resulted in a politically dysfunctional and divided Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ukraine must resist pressure for a swift settlement that risks creating a similarly fractured state and relinquishing its sovereignty. A peace agreement granting special status to Russian-held territories could invite ongoing paralysis and foreign influence, leading to a future fraught with instability and vulnerability.
Ukraine must carefully consider the nature of peace it seeks, avoiding arrangements that could lead to a fractured state, as seen in Bosnia's experience.
The Dayton Peace Agreement ended the Bosnian War but created a politically paralyzed environment, teaching Ukraine vital lessons on the pitfalls of rushed peace.
A peace that hampers Ukraine's sovereignty by granting autonomy to occupied regions could lead to internal deadlock, limiting the country's ability to govern effectively.
Wisely choosing the terms of peace is essential for Ukraine to avoid becoming permanently vulnerable, aligning more with Putinâs vision rather than gaining true stability.
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