"Peter Reesink emphasised that Russia remains 'the greatest and most direct threat to peace and stability in Europe,' highlighting the seriousness of the agency's findings."
"The report underscores that a conventional war between Russia and NATO is 'virtually out of the question' while Moscow remains deeply entrenched in Ukraine."
"Concerns were also raised that any potential confrontation could escalate into nuclear brinkmanship, as Moscow seeks to deter Western intervention while testing the alliance's unity."
"The agency asserted that Russia views liberal democratic values as a direct threat to its internal stability, giving the conflict an 'existential' dimension."
The Dutch intelligence service, MIVD, warns that Russia could rebuild combat capabilities within a year post-Ukraine war, potentially testing NATO. Analysts suggest Moscow may opt for smaller territorial incursions to exploit NATO divisions rather than seeking outright military victory. The report emphasizes that a conventional war is unlikely while Russia is entrenched in Ukraine, but risks could escalate after the conflict. Concerns include nuclear brinkmanship and the erosion of Cold War safeguards, increasing the potential for miscalculation and the use of 'grey zone' tactics.
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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