Year One of Trump II
Briefly

Year One of Trump II
"Foremost in the "good" column: The economy is ripping along. The Atlanta Fed expects the economy to have grown more than 5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, building on robust growth earlier in the year. The tariff schedule does not seem to have put a significant dent in growth, let alone brought about the economic cataclysm predicted by its most strident critics."
"The victories haven't been uniform; H-1B reform has been a bit of a mess, and the optics of enforcement have threatened the overall popularity of the administration's immigration policy. (The ICE shooting in Minneapolis, while not the clear-cut martyrdom the activist left would claim, was messy and probably avoidable, and raises justifiable questions about the Department of Homeland Security's flamboyant methods.)"
The economy showed strong performance, with the Atlanta Fed estimating over 5 percent growth in Q4 2025 and robust gains earlier in the year. The tariff schedule did not cause the predicted economic collapse, and the trade deficit narrowed significantly. Inflation fell from earlier highs but remained above the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target. The jobs market was weaker than expected given overall growth, and some analysts cautioned that the AI-driven market surge could be a bubble. Immigration enforcement reduced border crossings and increased deportations, while H-1B reform and enforcement optics created political and procedural difficulties.
Read at The American Conservative
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