"A very South Asian precinct in Edison, NJ has swung from Donald Trump +30 to Mikie Sherrill +76 in the span of a year. Working-class Hispanic Republicans in New Jersey, who turned the state red in 2024, have swung back to 64 percent for Sherrill, voting for her almost 2:1, compared to around half in 2024. Likewise, Palisades Park, America's most heavily Korean-American town, flipped from a 52-46 Harris-Trump split in 2024 to 62-38 for Sherrill, an eighteen-point blue swing."
"Eighty-four percent of young women (18-29) voted for Zohran Mamdani in the New York mayoral election, around 80 percent for Sherrill in New Jersey, and around 78 percent for Abigail Spanberger in Virginia. Paterson's Arab-American community swung heavily for Sherrill. The dust is still settling, but according to NBC News exit polling on young men (18-29) in Virginia, New Jersey, and New York City, in Virginia, Spanberger was +14. The numbers for Sherrill, and Mamdani were +10, and +40, respectively."
"In her speech Tuesday night, Spanberger said that the people voted for "the Commonwealth over chaos"-a pointed twist on the broken promise of the admin to pursue "commerce, not chaos." Every single county of Virginia shifted blue. People really don't like chaos, especially in a state where the top half are all government workers. When I was touring New York in 2023 with my parents, who came to visit me, we were chauffeured by a Taiwanese taxi driver who was heavily pro-J.D. Vance."
Significant partisan swings occurred across diverse communities in New Jersey, New York, and Virginia between 2024 and the recent elections. A South Asian precinct in Edison moved from Trump +30 to Sherrill +76. Working-class Hispanic Republicans in New Jersey shifted to 64 percent for Sherrill, up from roughly half in 2024. Palisades Park flipped from a 52-46 Harris-Trump split to 62-38 for Sherrill. Young women (18-29) favored progressive candidates overwhelmingly. Paterson's Arab-American community swung heavily for Sherrill. Exit polls show young men swung toward Democrats in varying degrees. Every Virginia county shifted blue. Voter aversion to perceived chaos influenced results.
Read at The American Conservative
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