"Housing inventory growth has slowed from 33% year over year in mid-2025 to 10.0% today. The cooling marks the clearest end to the supply-shortage era and the beginning of a market where pricing power will be determined more by demand strength, rates and buyer behavior than scarcity alone. As HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami recently noted, Year-over-year housing inventory growth has slowed to single digits, from 33% at one point last year to 9.99%."
"The edge in this market goes to professionals who can read demand in real time. Pricing is becoming more rate-sensitive, seasonal patterns are returning, and transaction volumes are thinner. That places a premium on strategy, timing and localized decision-making rather than pure access to listings. Inventory is up 10% year over year, but the pace of growth has decelerated sharply from the peaks of 2025."
Housing inventory growth slowed from roughly 33% year over year in mid-2025 to about 10% now, signaling the end of the supply-shortage era and a move toward normalization. Pricing power is shifting from scarcity to demand strength, interest rates and buyer behavior. Seasonality is returning, with inventory declining between Jan. 2–9 and a hoped-for winter trough in February to restore normal listing runway for spring. New listings remain constrained, totaling 39,007 for the week ending Jan. 9, down 12.6% year over year, creating the primary structural constraint for spring 2026. Professionals who read demand in real time hold the edge.
Read at www.housingwire.com
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