Recent discussions among Stanford School of Medicine researchers revealed alarming trends in childhood vaccination rates, dropping from 95% pre-pandemic to below 93% in 2023-24. Using a statistical model, researchers Dr. Nathan Lo and Kiang forecasted potential health outcomes if these rates persist. They estimate that measles could become endemic in the U.S. again within 25 years, projecting over 851,300 measles cases, resulting in more than 170,000 hospitalizations, nearly 900 neurological complications, and around 2,550 deaths by 2050, emphasizing the critical need to increase vaccination rates.
The declining immunization rates could lead to a resurgence of measles in the U.S., with up to 851,300 cases projected from now until 2050.
If vaccination rates do not improve, experts warn that measles could shift from a rare disease to endemic status, endangering public health.
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