How Overconfidence Leads to Overlooking Danger
Briefly

Perception of danger often involves not just seeing but also a tendency to overlook or doubt red flags. This is evident when individuals downplay negative information about suspects who do not fit the typical criminal profile. Research reveals that weak signals, which are fragmented and difficult to detect, play a crucial role in counterterrorism and other contexts. Misjudging signal strength due to overconfidence can lead to dangerous oversights, as illustrated by historical examples where potential threats were not adequately addressed.
Muted red flags create a failure to objectively assess danger.
A weak signal may not make sense in one context, even though it does in another.
Signal strength can be misjudged due to overconfidence when assessing a threat.
Seeing but not believing. Downplaying or doubting negative information about a suspect who doesn't 'look' or 'act' like a criminal is common.
Read at Psychology Today
[
|
]