"For the first time this century, the report finds, the number of children dying before their fifth birthday is projected to rise. Modeling conducted by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) reveals alarming statistics: In 2024, 4.6 million children died before turning five. In 2025, that number is projected to increase by just over 200,000, reaching an estimated 4.8 million children globally."
"Gates describes this "significant reversal in child deaths," as something that should be "sobering" for anyone committed to scientific and human progress. The report warns that if funding cuts persist, the consequences will be catastrophic. If global health funding decreases by 20%-the scale of cuts some major donor countries are considering-an additional 12 million children could die by 2045. Should the cuts be steeper, reaching 30%, the report grimly forecasts 16 million more childdeaths by 2045."
Modeling by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projects under-five deaths rising from 4.6 million in 2024 to an estimated 4.8 million in 2025, an increase of just over 200,000 deaths. The projected rise equates to more than 5,000 classrooms of children lost before basic early milestones. Global development assistance for health fell 26.9% below 2024 levels, and the U.S. dismantled USAID while cutting foreign aid. A 20% reduction in global health funding could cause 12 million additional child deaths by 2045; a 30% cut could cause 16 million more.
Read at Fortune
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