"In life, there are some things that are guaranteed: death, taxes, GTA VI being delayed, and the Connor McDavid-led Edmonton Oilers completing a second-half turnaround. They did it in 2023-24; following Kris Knoblauch's appointment as the Oilers' head coach, the Oilers closed out the season on a 46-18-5 run (good for 97 points); the resulting 1.41 points-per-game rate would've put Edmonton at around 116 points had that run been translated onto an eighty-two game regular season, which would be twelve points better than their 2023-24 finish."
"They also did it in 2024-25; despite being 10-9-2 after the first quarter of the season, Edmonton would finish the season on a 38-20-3 clip (good for 79 points). Given that the points-per-game pace Edmonton was on at that point was equal to 1.30 points-per-game, an eighty-two game season with that same performance would've seen Edmonton finish with around 107 points, slightly better than the 101 point tally Edmonton had for the 2024-25 season."
Edmonton repeatedly mounts second-half surges that dramatically improve their season outcomes. In 2023-24, after Kris Knoblauch became head coach the team closed with a 46-18-5 run (97 points), a 1.41 points-per-game pace that projects to roughly 116 points over 82 games. In 2024-25, after a 10-9-2 start the team finished 38-20-3 (79 points) and sustained a 1.30 ppg pace that projects to about 107 points. Both seasons concluded with Stanley Cup Final berths. In the current season the team began 11-11-5, earned points in three straight games as of December 9, and sits one point ahead for the final Western wild-card slot, holding games in hand and facing a challenging December schedule.
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