"For all intents and purposes, the Rangers have been a somewhat solid team at 5v5. They aren't perfect of course, and there are a bunch of roster holes, but the process has been there. Thing is, you can only talk process over results for so long before the results need to start to show. It's been 14 games and the Rangers still haven't won at home, scoring just six goals at MSG, five in one game against the lowly San Jose Sharks. That's historically bad."
"The left heatmap above represents the Rangers shooting rates from their shots in the offensive zone. Blue is lower shooting rates (bad), red is higher shooting rates (good). Essentially the end result of the Rangers offense problems is really bad shooting percentages in high danger areas. This isn't normal and will likely regress, meaning we should see those goals start to come at some point."
"The right heatmap shows where the Rangers are getting their shots off in the offensive zone. Red means more shots, blue means fewer shots. Generally speaking, you want more red closer to the net and then fade to lighter red and blue as you move into the low danger areas. If you're seeing what I'm seeing, then you're seeing the Rangers offense problems too. They lack creativity. If it's not a net front shot or a point shot, they defer."
The Rangers have a persistent scoring drought, winless at home through 14 games with just six goals at MSG. Shooting rates in high-danger areas are unusually low, producing poor shooting percentages as quality chances hit goalies' crests; those numbers should regress upward eventually. Shot-location patterns show concentration away from creative, east-west opportunities, with many attempts limited to net-front or point shots and predictable north-south play. The team displays solid 5v5 process and defensive structure, but lack of offensive creativity and predictable attack make the team easier to defend and suppress scoring until the approach changes.
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