"Life without Adam Fox is more than losing one player Life without Adam Fox is different this year than in years past. It's easy to point to Fox's stat line, role on the Rangers, and overall status as a top-three defenseman in the NHL and say the Rangers are going to miss him. That's obvious. But how much life without Adam Fox is going to be much worse than many realize."
"Per Peter Baugh, the Rangers had a 42% chance of making the playoffs this year without Fox. That number drops to 37% if Fox misses 10 games, which is the minimum for LTIR. If he misses 20 games, it drops to 32%. Essentially, for every 10 games Fox misses, the Rangers see their playoff chances fade by 5%. That could be more if life without Adam Fox is underestimated."
"Now a team that is struggling to score is going to be without their best skater and their only puck mover on the blue line. Fox's 3-23-26 in 27 games is tied for the team lead in points and assists, and the Rangers simply don't have anyone else on the roster that can step in to fill that role as the primary puck mover and QB on the top powerplay unit."
Adam Fox is the Rangers' most important skater and primary puck mover, tied for team lead with 3-23-26 in 27 games. His absence removes the only true playmaking defenseman and the top power-play quarterback. Each 10 games missed correlates with about a 5 percentage-point drop in playoff probability (42% without him, 37% at 10 games missed, 32% at 20). The Rangers face a difficult upcoming stretch (Dallas, at Ottawa, Colorado, Vegas) where expectations fall from .500 to likely three or four wins without Fox. The roster lacks a suitable replacement to preserve offensive and power-play consistency.
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