"Every week, we generate fantasy football projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will take the ball into the end zone. Here are my top 30 predicted scorers for Week 15, ordered by their implied odds*, as well as the anytime touchdown money line offered by DraftKings at time of publication. These implied odds are what my projections consider the fair odds on that player to score on an anytime touchdown bet."
"*Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. If the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided."
Projections estimate each player's probability of scoring an anytime touchdown in Week 15. A top-30 list ranks players by implied anytime-touchdown odds. DraftKings' anytime-touchdown money lines at publication time are provided for side-by-side comparison. Implied odds represent the projections' conversion of scoring probability into a money line. Bettors should compare implied odds with offered money lines to identify value; higher implied odds than the market signal an advantage, while lower implied odds indicate a projected disadvantage. Examples illustrate that an implied -150 vs offered -110 suggests an edge, whereas implied +110 vs offered -110 indicates avoiding the bet.
Read at ESPN.com
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