
"Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league. These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type."
"Solak: The Buffalo Bills' win last week over the Patriots was a much weirder game than we wanted it to be. Special teams, explosive runs and key penalties created odd game-script and field-position battles. While the Patriots' strength of schedule is a serious concern, and a loss against the Bills a reminder of their limitations, I don't think it was as bad of a setback as the market seems to. As a road dog traveling to Baltimore, the Patriots are still in control of their destiny in the AFC East."
Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen apply different methods to identify sports-betting value: player evaluation and X's and O's, statistical models for expected value, and tape study with NFL experience. Weekly selections span bet types, including spreads, money lines, totals and defensive player props, seeking profitable prices wherever they appear. Results are tracked through the season using flat one-unit wagers per listed bet. In Week 16, Solak notes Buffalo's win over New England was unusual due to special teams, explosive runs and penalties, but sees the Patriots still controlling their AFC East fate as a road underdog at Baltimore.
Read at ESPN.com
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