"Every week, we generate fantasy football projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will take the ball into the end zone. Here are my top 30 predicted scorers for Week 18, ordered by their implied odds*, as well as the anytime touchdown money line offered by DraftKings at time of publication. The implied odds are what my projections consider the fair odds on that player to score on an anytime touchdown bet."
"*Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. If the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided."
Fantasy football projections are generated weekly for every game on the slate, including each player's probability of scoring a touchdown. The top 30 predicted scorers for Week 18 are ranked by implied odds and listed with the anytime-touchdown money line from DraftKings at time of publication. Implied odds convert a projected probability into a money line that reflects fair odds. Implied odds higher than the offered money line indicate an expected advantage for the bettor; implied odds lower than the offered line indicate a projected disadvantage. Two numeric examples illustrate the comparison and how to interpret an advantage or disadvantage.
Read at ESPN.com
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