"ESPN Eliminator Challenge is one of the most fun and simple games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple -- pick one team, and as long as they win (or tie), you advance to the next round. If they lose, you are out. The only caveat is you cannot pick the same team twice. Last season's game was as difficult as we have ever seen."
"Nearly 95% of entries last season were eliminated by Week 4, as big favorites lost at an unprecedented rate. Every favorite of at least a touchdown lost outright in that span. So, have we learned anything from last year? Of course not. Over the long run, the biggest favorites tend to win the most, despite last season's early results. One benefit of last season could be more spread out selections among picks this week."
Players pick one NFL team each week; a chosen team must win or tie to advance, and the same team cannot be selected twice. Last season eliminated nearly 95% of entries by Week 4 as many heavy favorites lost at an unprecedented rate. Historical trends still favor favorites over the long run despite that volatility. Week 1 selections are more distributed, with no team exceeding 18% ownership, reducing a single obvious leverage fade. Denver holds the highest Week 1 win probability and is the top recommended pick. Other sensible Week 1 choices include Philadelphia, Cincinnati, Washington, Arizona, New England and Jacksonville.
Read at ESPN.com
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