"ESPN Eliminator Challenge is one of the most fun games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: pick one team, and as long as they win (or tie), you advance to the next round. If they lose, you are out. The caveat is you cannot pick the same team twice. If you've made it this far, give yourself a pat on the back."
"Last week, favorites went 11-2 straight up and against the spread. However, the two underdog wins knocked out 39% of remaining Eliminator Challenge entries, the second-most devastating week of the season. The Cincinnati Bengals loss knocked out 20% of the field as they were the most-selected team last week. The Atlanta Falcons also lost as the fourth-most popular pick. However, this column survives another week as the Indianapolis Colts won easily over the lowly Tennessee Titans."
"This week features four high-end options. The Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams, Los Angeles Chargers and Detroit Lions are all big favorites, and none are likely to be favored by this much the rest of the season. There's no reason to pivot elsewhere as there is a massive drop-off in win equity, so pick your favorite of the four."
"Mike Clay's Eliminator Challenge cheat sheet This is the second-most lopsided matchup the rest of the season according to ESPN Analytics. While the Rams have some future value, including Week 13 in Carolina, that isn't enough reason to pass up this much win probability. The biggest reason to pivot elsewhere is selection rate, as the Rams will be the most popular pick."
ESPN Eliminator Challenge requires selecting one team each week; a win or tie advances the entry, a loss eliminates it, and teams cannot be reused. Favorites went 11-2 last week, but two underdog wins eliminated 39% of remaining entries, including a 20% cut when the Bengals lost. Less than 8% of ESPN entries remain active entering Week 9 after the Colts beat the Titans. Week 9 offers four heavy favorites — Packers, Rams, Chargers and Lions — none likely to be favored by this margin again, creating a large drop-off in win equity. The Rams are the recommended pick for Week 9 based on win probability and remaining future value, despite high selection rates.
Read at ESPN.com
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