Predictions present five positive statistical and developmental outcomes and five negative evaluations identifying players and groups that will underperform. Michael Penix Jr. is projected to throw 27 touchdown passes while showing elite arm strength, improvisational vision, and risky touch that will lower completion percentage. Offensive balance will be constrained by a dynamic running back in the backfield, limiting passing touchdowns. Jessie Bates is expected to reach double-digit takeaways as a result of increased schematic aggression and varied coverage alignments. Several specific players and personnel groups are forecast to miss expectations, affecting the Falcons' playoff prospects.
Michael Penix Jr. throws 27 touchdowns: Predicting a quarterback with only three NFL starts to throw 30 touchdowns is a bit over the top. While a talented passer aligned with an offensive coordinator who wants to be aggressive is going to create endless possibilities, let's take into account that one of the league's most electrifying players is in Atlanta's backfield. There are only so many touchdowns that can go around.
Penix Jr. proves to be a success in his first full season as a starter. His astonishing arm strength, knack for using his eyes to force defenders out of position, and ability to make tight window throws will result in numerous highlight-reel plays. The completion percentage won't be as high as you'd like to see from a franchise quarterback due to his throwing motion and inconsistent touch. Penix will still flourish, throwing for the most touchdowns by a Falcons quarterback since Matt Ryan in 2018.
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