"Whether you intend to make an anytime touchdown bet, are setting a DFS lineup or enjoy peering into a crystal ball, I have a prediction. Each week, we generate projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will reach the end zone. Here are my top 30 predicted scorers for conference championship weekend, ordered by their implied odds*, as well as the anytime touchdown money line offered by DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publication."
"*Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. If the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided."
Projections give the probability that each player will score a touchdown in every game on the slate. A ranked list shows the top 30 predicted scorers for conference championship weekend, ordered by implied odds and matched with DraftKings anytime-touchdown money lines. Implied odds convert projected probabilities into money-line odds. Comparing implied odds to offered money lines reveals whether the projection signals a betting advantage (implied odds more favorable than the line) or a disadvantage (implied odds less favorable than the line). The information supports anytime-touchdown betting, DFS lineup decisions, and touchdown-probability analysis.
Read at ESPN.com
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